Brief history of Forex trading
Initially, the value of goods was expressed in terms of other
goods, i.e. an economy based on barter between individual market
participants. The obvious limitations of such a system encouraged
establishing more generally accepted means of exchange at a fairly
early stage in history, to set a common benchmark of value. In
different economies, everything from teeth to feathers to pretty
stones has served this purpose, but soon metals, in particular gold
and silver, established themselves as an accepted means of payment
as well as a reliable storage of value.
Originally, coins were simply minted from the preferred metal,
but in stable political regimes the introduction of a paper form of
governmental IOUs (I owe you) gained acceptance during the Middle
Ages. Such IOUs, often introduced more successfully through force
than persuasion were the basis of modern currencies.
Before World War I, most central banks supported their currencies
with convertibility to gold. Although paper money could always be
exchanged for gold, in reality this did not occur often, fostering
the sometimes disastrous notion that there was not necessarily a
need for full cover in the central reserves of the government.
At times, the ballooning supply of paper money without gold cover
led to devastating inflation and resulting political instability. To
protect local national interests, foreign exchange controls were
increasingly introduced to prevent market forces from punishing
monetary irresponsibility.
In the latter stages of World War II, the Bretton Woods agreement
was reached on the initiative of the USA in July 1944. The Bretton
Woods Conference rejected John Maynard Keynes suggestion for a new
world reserve currency in favour of a system built on the US dollar.
Other international institutions such as the IMF, the World Bank and
GATT (General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade) were created in the
same period as the emerging victors of WW2 searched for a way to
avoid the destabilising monetary crises which led to the war. The
Bretton Woods agreement resulted in a system of fixed exchange rates
that partly reinstated the gold standard, fixing the US dollar at
USD35/oz and fixing the other main currencies to the dollar - and
was intended to be permanent.
The Bretton Woods system came under increasing pressure as
national economies moved in different directions during the sixties.
A number of realignments kept the system alive for a long time, but
eventually Bretton Woods collapsed in the early seventies following
president Nixon's suspension of the gold convertibility in August
1971. The dollar was no longer suitable as the sole international
currency at a time when it was under severe pressure from increasing
US budget and trade deficits.
The following decades have seen foreign exchange trading develop
into the largest global market by far. Restrictions on capital flows
have been removed in most countries, leaving the market forces free
to adjust foreign exchange rates according to their perceived values.
But the idea of fixed exchange rates has by no means died. The
EEC (European Economic Community) introduced a new system of fixed
exchange rates in 1979, the European Monetary System. This attempt
to fix exchange rates met with near extinction in 1992-93, when pent-up
economic pressures forced devaluations of a number of weak European
currencies. Nevertheless, the quest for currency stability has
continued in Europe with the renewed attempt to not only fix
currencies but actually replace many of them with the Euro in 2001.
The lack of sustainability in fixed foreign exchange rates gained
new relevance with the events in South East Asia in the latter part
of 1997, where currency after currency was devalued against the US
dollar, leaving other fixed exchange rates, in particular in South
America, looking very vulnerable.
But while commercial companies have had to face a much more
volatile currency environment in recent years, investors and
financial institutions have found a new playground. The size of
foreign exchange markets now dwarfs any other investment market by a
large factor. It is estimated that more than USD 3,000 billion is
traded every day, far more than the world's stock and bond markets
combined.
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